Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Ankara on September 22, driven by partly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while allowing modest daytime heating to around 22–24°C. Historical September lows average 10–14°C, with typical overnight drops to near 9–11°C under clear conditions; however, expected southwesterly flow and 40–55% precipitation probability introduce variability in cloud cover that could raise or lower the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads reflect this uncertainty, with traders weighting the 10°C outcome highest amid stable seasonal norms and no strong high-pressure setup for deeper cooling. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 22?
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
8°C or below
7%
9°C
11%
10°C
30%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
4%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
7%
9°C
$0 Обс.
11%
10°C
$33 Обс.
30%
11°C
$0 Обс.
40%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
19%
16°C
$0 Обс.
11%
17°C
$0 Обс.
7%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Ankara on September 22, driven by partly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while allowing modest daytime heating to around 22–24°C. Historical September lows average 10–14°C, with typical overnight drops to near 9–11°C under clear conditions; however, expected southwesterly flow and 40–55% precipitation probability introduce variability in cloud cover that could raise or lower the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads reflect this uncertainty, with traders weighting the 10°C outcome highest amid stable seasonal norms and no strong high-pressure setup for deeper cooling. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$33Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Ankara on September 22, driven by partly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while allowing modest daytime heating to around 22–24°C. Historical September lows average 10–14°C, with typical overnight drops to near 9–11°C under clear conditions; however, expected southwesterly flow and 40–55% precipitation probability introduce variability in cloud cover that could raise or lower the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads reflect this uncertainty, with traders weighting the 10°C outcome highest amid stable seasonal norms and no strong high-pressure setup for deeper cooling. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Ankara on September 22, driven by partly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while allowing modest daytime heating to around 22–24°C. Historical September lows average 10–14°C, with typical overnight drops to near 9–11°C under clear conditions; however, expected southwesterly flow and 40–55% precipitation probability introduce variability in cloud cover that could raise or lower the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads reflect this uncertainty, with traders weighting the 10°C outcome highest amid stable seasonal norms and no strong high-pressure setup for deeper cooling. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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