Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate clear skies and light winds over Ankara on September 23–24, promoting strong radiative cooling overnight and supporting a minimum near 7–9°C. This follows scattered showers on the 23rd that raise surface moisture but clear afterward, allowing temperatures to drop efficiently under the inversion layer typical of the Anatolian plateau in late September. Model consensus narrows the range around these values, yet minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the low a degree or two either way, explaining the near-even trader split between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will clarify resolution thresholds for this daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 24?
4°C or below 100%
14°C or higher 98%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
4°C or below
100%
5°C
39%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
21%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C or higher
98%
4°C or below 100%
14°C or higher 98%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
4°C or below
100%
5°C
39%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
21%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate clear skies and light winds over Ankara on September 23–24, promoting strong radiative cooling overnight and supporting a minimum near 7–9°C. This follows scattered showers on the 23rd that raise surface moisture but clear afterward, allowing temperatures to drop efficiently under the inversion layer typical of the Anatolian plateau in late September. Model consensus narrows the range around these values, yet minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the low a degree or two either way, explaining the near-even trader split between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will clarify resolution thresholds for this daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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