Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
19°C or below 83%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 42%
23°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
83%
20°C
18%
21°C
42%
22°C
23%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
23%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
19°C or below 83%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 42%
23°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Обс.
83%
20°C
$5 Обс.
18%
21°C
$5 Обс.
42%
22°C
$0 Обс.
23%
23°C
$310 Обс.
40%
24°C
$0 Обс.
29%
25°C
$0 Обс.
28%
26°C
$0 Обс.
23%
27°C
$0 Обс.
22%
28°C
$5 Обс.
8%
29°C or higher
$5 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$335Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$335Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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