Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration points to mostly clear skies and light variable winds over Busan on August 24, supporting overnight lows near 25–27°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to historical August averages of about 24°C, with no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture expected to alter the pattern in the next 48 hours. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below at 45% likely reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range model runs, while narrower probabilities clustered around 25–26°C align more closely with current deterministic guidance and ensemble spreads showing limited downside risk. Updated model outputs on August 23 will provide the next key data point for resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
19°C or below 90%
22°C 42%
21°C 37%
25°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
90%
20°C
3%
21°C
37%
22°C
42%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
23%
29°C or higher
2%
19°C or below 90%
22°C 42%
21°C 37%
25°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Обс.
90%
20°C
$5 Обс.
3%
21°C
$5 Обс.
37%
22°C
$5 Обс.
42%
23°C
$0 Обс.
22%
24°C
$0 Обс.
23%
25°C
$0 Обс.
27%
26°C
$0 Обс.
27%
27°C
$0 Обс.
26%
28°C
$0 Обс.
23%
29°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration points to mostly clear skies and light variable winds over Busan on August 24, supporting overnight lows near 25–27°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to historical August averages of about 24°C, with no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture expected to alter the pattern in the next 48 hours. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below at 45% likely reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range model runs, while narrower probabilities clustered around 25–26°C align more closely with current deterministic guidance and ensemble spreads showing limited downside risk. Updated model outputs on August 23 will provide the next key data point for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration points to mostly clear skies and light variable winds over Busan on August 24, supporting overnight lows near 25–27°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to historical August averages of about 24°C, with no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture expected to alter the pattern in the next 48 hours. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below at 45% likely reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range model runs, while narrower probabilities clustered around 25–26°C align more closely with current deterministic guidance and ensemble spreads showing limited downside risk. Updated model outputs on August 23 will provide the next key data point for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration points to mostly clear skies and light variable winds over Busan on August 24, supporting overnight lows near 25–27°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to historical August averages of about 24°C, with no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture expected to alter the pattern in the next 48 hours. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below at 45% likely reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range model runs, while narrower probabilities clustered around 25–26°C align more closely with current deterministic guidance and ensemble spreads showing limited downside risk. Updated model outputs on August 23 will provide the next key data point for resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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