Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to clear or partly cloudy skies with northerly winds over Helsinki on September 22, promoting radiational cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near historical averages of about 8°C. This setup, following a period of mild September conditions, drives trader consensus toward the tightly bunched 6–8°C outcomes at roughly 20% implied probability each, as small differences in wind speed, cloud cover, or dew point can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date and official observations will refine these probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 22?
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
8°C 39%
5°C 19%
3°C or below
7%
4°C
11%
5°C
19%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
39%
9°C
19%
10°C
11%
11°C
7%
12°C
4%
13°C or higher
4%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
8°C 39%
5°C 19%
3°C or below
7%
4°C
11%
5°C
19%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
39%
9°C
19%
10°C
11%
11°C
7%
12°C
4%
13°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to clear or partly cloudy skies with northerly winds over Helsinki on September 22, promoting radiational cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near historical averages of about 8°C. This setup, following a period of mild September conditions, drives trader consensus toward the tightly bunched 6–8°C outcomes at roughly 20% implied probability each, as small differences in wind speed, cloud cover, or dew point can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date and official observations will refine these probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання