**Current ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low near 20°C for Istanbul on September 9 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.** This setup favors gradual radiative cooling after sunset, with surface temperatures expected to bottom out in the 19–21°C range as high pressure maintains stable conditions and light winds limit mixing. The market’s leading 35% probability on 16°C or below reflects residual uncertainty around potential model spread in cooling rates or minor wind shifts, while the cluster of outcomes around 19–22°C (each near 28%) captures the tight consensus from recent runs. September climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 17–20°C, so the current pattern aligns closely with seasonal norms without unusual cold-air advection. Traders are weighing these factors ahead of final verification, with any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind strength the main variables that could shift the exact low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
16°C or below 67%
26°C or higher 39%
21°C 29%
20°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
67%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
39%
16°C or below 67%
26°C or higher 39%
21°C 29%
20°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$72 Обс.
67%
17°C
$49 Обс.
8%
18°C
$49 Обс.
8%
19°C
$0 Обс.
27%
20°C
$0 Обс.
27%
21°C
$0 Обс.
29%
22°C
$0 Обс.
27%
23°C
$0 Обс.
26%
24°C
$70 Обс.
8%
25°C
$22 Обс.
8%
26°C or higher
$50 Обс.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low near 20°C for Istanbul on September 9 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.**
This setup favors gradual radiative cooling after sunset, with surface temperatures expected to bottom out in the 19–21°C range as high pressure maintains stable conditions and light winds limit mixing. The market’s leading 35% probability on 16°C or below reflects residual uncertainty around potential model spread in cooling rates or minor wind shifts, while the cluster of outcomes around 19–22°C (each near 28%) captures the tight consensus from recent runs.
September climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 17–20°C, so the current pattern aligns closely with seasonal norms without unusual cold-air advection. Traders are weighing these factors ahead of final verification, with any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind strength the main variables that could shift the exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$312Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low near 20°C for Istanbul on September 9 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.**
This setup favors gradual radiative cooling after sunset, with surface temperatures expected to bottom out in the 19–21°C range as high pressure maintains stable conditions and light winds limit mixing. The market’s leading 35% probability on 16°C or below reflects residual uncertainty around potential model spread in cooling rates or minor wind shifts, while the cluster of outcomes around 19–22°C (each near 28%) captures the tight consensus from recent runs.
September climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 17–20°C, so the current pattern aligns closely with seasonal norms without unusual cold-air advection. Traders are weighing these factors ahead of final verification, with any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind strength the main variables that could shift the exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$312Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low near 20°C for Istanbul on September 9 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.** This setup favors gradual radiative cooling after sunset, with surface temperatures expected to bottom out in the 19–21°C range as high pressure maintains stable conditions and light winds limit mixing. The market’s leading 35% probability on 16°C or below reflects residual uncertainty around potential model spread in cooling rates or minor wind shifts, while the cluster of outcomes around 19–22°C (each near 28%) captures the tight consensus from recent runs. September climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 17–20°C, so the current pattern aligns closely with seasonal norms without unusual cold-air advection. Traders are weighing these factors ahead of final verification, with any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind strength the main variables that could shift the exact low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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