Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Istanbul on September 10 with light northeasterly flow and negligible precipitation risk, supporting afternoon maxima centered around 26–28 °C. These conditions align with early-September climatology and stable high-pressure patterns that have limited day-to-day variability in recent model cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 66 % implied probability for 25 °C and 29 % for 26 °C appears driven by the tight clustering of guidance near the lower end of that range plus minor ensemble spread. Final official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
25°C 66%
26°C 29%
24°C 4%
27°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
66%
26°C
29%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 66%
26°C 29%
24°C 4%
27°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
22°C or below
$394 Обс.
1%
23°C
$330 Обс.
2%
24°C
$527 Обс.
4%
25°C
$1,273 Обс.
66%
26°C
$727 Обс.
29%
27°C
$294 Обс.
3%
28°C
$247 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$267 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$501 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$681 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$721 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Istanbul on September 10 with light northeasterly flow and negligible precipitation risk, supporting afternoon maxima centered around 26–28 °C. These conditions align with early-September climatology and stable high-pressure patterns that have limited day-to-day variability in recent model cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 66 % implied probability for 25 °C and 29 % for 26 °C appears driven by the tight clustering of guidance near the lower end of that range plus minor ensemble spread. Final official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,962Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Istanbul on September 10 with light northeasterly flow and negligible precipitation risk, supporting afternoon maxima centered around 26–28 °C. These conditions align with early-September climatology and stable high-pressure patterns that have limited day-to-day variability in recent model cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 66 % implied probability for 25 °C and 29 % for 26 °C appears driven by the tight clustering of guidance near the lower end of that range plus minor ensemble spread. Final official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,962Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Istanbul on September 10 with light northeasterly flow and negligible precipitation risk, supporting afternoon maxima centered around 26–28 °C. These conditions align with early-September climatology and stable high-pressure patterns that have limited day-to-day variability in recent model cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 66 % implied probability for 25 °C and 29 % for 26 °C appears driven by the tight clustering of guidance near the lower end of that range plus minor ensemble spread. Final official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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