Market-implied odds assign near-certainty to a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, driven by converging forecasts from regional meteorological models and station data showing stable northeasterly flow with mostly clear skies. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend after earlier September peaks near 31°C, with current conditions and short-range guidance aligning on a maximum around this threshold under typical late-summer atmospheric stability. Historical September averages near 21–22°C provide context for the slightly elevated but consistent reading. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, which could shift only if unexpected convective development or localized microclimate effects alter the recorded peak before the close of the meteorological day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$20,791 Обс.
$20,791 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$20,791 Обс.
$20,791 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$666 Обс.
No
22°C
$1,434 Обс.
No
23°C
$673 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,743 Обс.
No
25°C
$6,380 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$3,623 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,789 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,885 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,532 Обс.
No
30°C
$664 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$401 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds assign near-certainty to a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, driven by converging forecasts from regional meteorological models and station data showing stable northeasterly flow with mostly clear skies. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend after earlier September peaks near 31°C, with current conditions and short-range guidance aligning on a maximum around this threshold under typical late-summer atmospheric stability. Historical September averages near 21–22°C provide context for the slightly elevated but consistent reading. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, which could shift only if unexpected convective development or localized microclimate effects alter the recorded peak before the close of the meteorological day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,791Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds assign near-certainty to a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, driven by converging forecasts from regional meteorological models and station data showing stable northeasterly flow with mostly clear skies. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend after earlier September peaks near 31°C, with current conditions and short-range guidance aligning on a maximum around this threshold under typical late-summer atmospheric stability. Historical September averages near 21–22°C provide context for the slightly elevated but consistent reading. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, which could shift only if unexpected convective development or localized microclimate effects alter the recorded peak before the close of the meteorological day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20,791Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Market-implied odds assign near-certainty to a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, driven by converging forecasts from regional meteorological models and station data showing stable northeasterly flow with mostly clear skies. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend after earlier September peaks near 31°C, with current conditions and short-range guidance aligning on a maximum around this threshold under typical late-summer atmospheric stability. Historical September averages near 21–22°C provide context for the slightly elevated but consistent reading. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, which could shift only if unexpected convective development or localized microclimate effects alter the recorded peak before the close of the meteorological day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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