National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 10 under persistent southerly flow and strong high pressure, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins. Afternoon heating may trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms that slightly suppress the peak, creating modest uncertainty around the exact threshold. Recent days have featured readings of 100-102°F amid an above-normal pattern well exceeding the 91°F climatological average high, while heat indices near 105-107°F underscore the intensity. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the hours before peak heating remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on September 10?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 10?
98-99°F 48%
100-101°F 22%
96-97°F 19%
94-95°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
22%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 48%
100-101°F 22%
96-97°F 19%
94-95°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
89°F or below
$863 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$230 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$226 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$1,150 Обс.
7%
96-97°F
$517 Обс.
19%
98-99°F
$1,470 Обс.
48%
100-101°F
$421 Обс.
22%
102-103°F
$429 Обс.
4%
104-105°F
$127 Обс.
2%
106-107°F
$264 Обс.
1%
108°F or higher
$407 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 10 under persistent southerly flow and strong high pressure, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins. Afternoon heating may trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms that slightly suppress the peak, creating modest uncertainty around the exact threshold. Recent days have featured readings of 100-102°F amid an above-normal pattern well exceeding the 91°F climatological average high, while heat indices near 105-107°F underscore the intensity. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the hours before peak heating remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,104Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 10 under persistent southerly flow and strong high pressure, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins. Afternoon heating may trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms that slightly suppress the peak, creating modest uncertainty around the exact threshold. Recent days have featured readings of 100-102°F amid an above-normal pattern well exceeding the 91°F climatological average high, while heat indices near 105-107°F underscore the intensity. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the hours before peak heating remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,104Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 10 under persistent southerly flow and strong high pressure, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins. Afternoon heating may trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms that slightly suppress the peak, creating modest uncertainty around the exact threshold. Recent days have featured readings of 100-102°F amid an above-normal pattern well exceeding the 91°F climatological average high, while heat indices near 105-107°F underscore the intensity. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the hours before peak heating remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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