Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical models positioned Moscow's September 10 daytime high near 25°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild air masses under light cloud cover and stable pressure near 745–746 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned with this range, producing narrow ensemble spreads around seasonal norms without strong warm advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C capturing essentially all probability as the day progressed toward resolution at the official Vnukovo station. Only a late revision in the precise peak timing, local microclimate effects at the measurement site, or an unforecast boundary-layer shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,332 Обс.
$32,332 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,332 Обс.
$32,332 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$603 Обс.
No
19°C
$607 Обс.
No
20°C
$324 Обс.
No
21°C
$554 Обс.
No
22°C
$702 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,021 Обс.
No
24°C
$7,569 Обс.
No
25°C
$7,187 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$7,168 Обс.
No
27°C
$3,707 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$892 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical models positioned Moscow's September 10 daytime high near 25°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild air masses under light cloud cover and stable pressure near 745–746 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned with this range, producing narrow ensemble spreads around seasonal norms without strong warm advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C capturing essentially all probability as the day progressed toward resolution at the official Vnukovo station. Only a late revision in the precise peak timing, local microclimate effects at the measurement site, or an unforecast boundary-layer shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,332Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical models positioned Moscow's September 10 daytime high near 25°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild air masses under light cloud cover and stable pressure near 745–746 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned with this range, producing narrow ensemble spreads around seasonal norms without strong warm advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C capturing essentially all probability as the day progressed toward resolution at the official Vnukovo station. Only a late revision in the precise peak timing, local microclimate effects at the measurement site, or an unforecast boundary-layer shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$32,332Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical models positioned Moscow's September 10 daytime high near 25°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild air masses under light cloud cover and stable pressure near 745–746 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned with this range, producing narrow ensemble spreads around seasonal norms without strong warm advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C capturing essentially all probability as the day progressed toward resolution at the official Vnukovo station. Only a late revision in the precise peak timing, local microclimate effects at the measurement site, or an unforecast boundary-layer shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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