Recent model runs and Met Office guidance highlight a frontal passage with thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover as the dominant influence on London's minimum temperature for August 27. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while southeasterly winds enhance mixing, keeping overnight values from falling sharply. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS outputs creates tight differentiation around 17–19 °C, explaining the near-even market shares for 18 °C and 19 °C. Historical August minima in London average near 14 °C under clearer skies, underscoring how the unsettled pattern raises the floor relative to climatology. Updated short-range guidance later today will likely narrow resolution odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 27?
Lowest temperature in London on August 27?
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
17°C 14%
20°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
17°C 14%
20°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$25 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$20 Обс.
1%
15°C
$20 Обс.
1%
16°C
$20 Обс.
1%
17°C
$147 Обс.
14%
18°C
$530 Обс.
39%
19°C
$564 Обс.
39%
20°C
$318 Обс.
9%
21°C
$180 Обс.
3%
22°C
$20 Обс.
1%
23°C or higher
$20 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and Met Office guidance highlight a frontal passage with thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover as the dominant influence on London's minimum temperature for August 27. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while southeasterly winds enhance mixing, keeping overnight values from falling sharply. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS outputs creates tight differentiation around 17–19 °C, explaining the near-even market shares for 18 °C and 19 °C. Historical August minima in London average near 14 °C under clearer skies, underscoring how the unsettled pattern raises the floor relative to climatology. Updated short-range guidance later today will likely narrow resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,865Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and Met Office guidance highlight a frontal passage with thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover as the dominant influence on London's minimum temperature for August 27. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while southeasterly winds enhance mixing, keeping overnight values from falling sharply. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS outputs creates tight differentiation around 17–19 °C, explaining the near-even market shares for 18 °C and 19 °C. Historical August minima in London average near 14 °C under clearer skies, underscoring how the unsettled pattern raises the floor relative to climatology. Updated short-range guidance later today will likely narrow resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,865Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and Met Office guidance highlight a frontal passage with thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover as the dominant influence on London's minimum temperature for August 27. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while southeasterly winds enhance mixing, keeping overnight values from falling sharply. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS outputs creates tight differentiation around 17–19 °C, explaining the near-even market shares for 18 °C and 19 °C. Historical August minima in London average near 14 °C under clearer skies, underscoring how the unsettled pattern raises the floor relative to climatology. Updated short-range guidance later today will likely narrow resolution odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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