Latest forecast models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate an overnight minimum near 14°C in Munich on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with no approaching fronts. This aligns closely with the 14°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability, edging out 13°C (31.5%) and 15°C (27.0%), while the 29.5% on 11°C or below reflects residual model spread and typical cooling variability in autumnal boundary-layer conditions. Historical September 3 averages show a 12°C low, but current guidance runs slightly milder due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Final DWD observations and post-00 UTC model updates will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 3?
14°C 34%
13°C 32%
11°C or below 30%
15°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
30%
12°C
22%
13°C
32%
14°C
34%
15°C
27%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
6%
14°C 34%
13°C 32%
11°C or below 30%
15°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
$54 Обс.
30%
12°C
$0 Обс.
22%
13°C
$0 Обс.
32%
14°C
$0 Обс.
34%
15°C
$4 Обс.
27%
16°C
$90 Обс.
9%
17°C
$120 Обс.
1%
18°C
$5 Обс.
15%
19°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$5 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate an overnight minimum near 14°C in Munich on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with no approaching fronts. This aligns closely with the 14°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability, edging out 13°C (31.5%) and 15°C (27.0%), while the 29.5% on 11°C or below reflects residual model spread and typical cooling variability in autumnal boundary-layer conditions. Historical September 3 averages show a 12°C low, but current guidance runs slightly milder due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Final DWD observations and post-00 UTC model updates will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$288Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate an overnight minimum near 14°C in Munich on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with no approaching fronts. This aligns closely with the 14°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability, edging out 13°C (31.5%) and 15°C (27.0%), while the 29.5% on 11°C or below reflects residual model spread and typical cooling variability in autumnal boundary-layer conditions. Historical September 3 averages show a 12°C low, but current guidance runs slightly milder due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Final DWD observations and post-00 UTC model updates will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$288Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate an overnight minimum near 14°C in Munich on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with no approaching fronts. This aligns closely with the 14°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability, edging out 13°C (31.5%) and 15°C (27.0%), while the 29.5% on 11°C or below reflects residual model spread and typical cooling variability in autumnal boundary-layer conditions. Historical September 3 averages show a 12°C low, but current guidance runs slightly milder due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Final DWD observations and post-00 UTC model updates will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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