Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 68°F in Central Park on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F (41.5%) and 66-67°F (24.5%) bins. Late-summer climatology favors overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under moderating dew points and urban heat island effects, with any incoming cooler air mass from the north limited by a stable ridge and lack of strong cold advection. Historical Central Park normals for the date cluster around 66-68°F, and current ensembles show modest variability absent unexpected marine influences or rapid clearing. Traders are pricing in high confidence for this narrow range, with new short-range model runs and official NWS updates expected to refine the final outcome before midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 21?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 21?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
57°F or below
$170 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$10 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$15 Обс.
2%
62-63°F
$51 Обс.
4%
64-65°F
$99 Обс.
6%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
25%
68-69°F
$56 Обс.
42%
70-71°F
$121 Обс.
16%
72-73°F
$110 Обс.
4%
74-75°F
$238 Обс.
1%
76°F or higher
$158 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 68°F in Central Park on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F (41.5%) and 66-67°F (24.5%) bins. Late-summer climatology favors overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under moderating dew points and urban heat island effects, with any incoming cooler air mass from the north limited by a stable ridge and lack of strong cold advection. Historical Central Park normals for the date cluster around 66-68°F, and current ensembles show modest variability absent unexpected marine influences or rapid clearing. Traders are pricing in high confidence for this narrow range, with new short-range model runs and official NWS updates expected to refine the final outcome before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,028Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 68°F in Central Park on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F (41.5%) and 66-67°F (24.5%) bins. Late-summer climatology favors overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under moderating dew points and urban heat island effects, with any incoming cooler air mass from the north limited by a stable ridge and lack of strong cold advection. Historical Central Park normals for the date cluster around 66-68°F, and current ensembles show modest variability absent unexpected marine influences or rapid clearing. Traders are pricing in high confidence for this narrow range, with new short-range model runs and official NWS updates expected to refine the final outcome before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,028Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 68°F in Central Park on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F (41.5%) and 66-67°F (24.5%) bins. Late-summer climatology favors overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under moderating dew points and urban heat island effects, with any incoming cooler air mass from the north limited by a stable ridge and lack of strong cold advection. Historical Central Park normals for the date cluster around 66-68°F, and current ensembles show modest variability absent unexpected marine influences or rapid clearing. Traders are pricing in high confidence for this narrow range, with new short-range model runs and official NWS updates expected to refine the final outcome before midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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