Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a clear, calm night over Incheon with light easterly flow, supporting radiative cooling and an implied overnight low near 19 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 18–20 °C outcomes, where small differences in minimum timing or microsite effects could shift the exact reading. Late-September climatology shows average lows of 17–18 °C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal warmth under stable high pressure. Updated model runs and official station observations on September 22 will determine the final resolution, with traders weighting the consensus minimum against potential local variations at the Incheon reporting site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?
19°C 34%
20°C 31%
18°C 21%
21°C 19%
14°C or below
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18°C
25%
19°C
34%
20°C
31%
21°C
19%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
3%
19°C 34%
20°C 31%
18°C 21%
21°C 19%
14°C or below
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18°C
25%
19°C
34%
20°C
31%
21°C
19%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a clear, calm night over Incheon with light easterly flow, supporting radiative cooling and an implied overnight low near 19 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 18–20 °C outcomes, where small differences in minimum timing or microsite effects could shift the exact reading. Late-September climatology shows average lows of 17–18 °C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal warmth under stable high pressure. Updated model runs and official station observations on September 22 will determine the final resolution, with traders weighting the consensus minimum against potential local variations at the Incheon reporting site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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