Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,940 Обс.
$9,940 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,940 Обс.
$9,940 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
5°C or below
$212 Обс.
No
6°C
$304 Обс.
No
7°C
$210 Обс.
No
8°C
$290 Обс.
No
9°C
$1,471 Обс.
No
10°C
$2,662 Обс.
Yes
11°C
$718 Обс.
No
12°C
$717 Обс.
No
13°C
$728 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,052 Обс.
No
15°C or higher
$574 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,940Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$9,940Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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