Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity levels around 80%. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs near 32°C, consistent with typical late-summer patterns in the region. Current observations show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, supporting trader consensus around the 27°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Updated model runs closer to the date could shift odds if steering winds or precipitation intensity change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
26°C 9%
29°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
51%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
26°C 9%
29°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
51%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity levels around 80%. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs near 32°C, consistent with typical late-summer patterns in the region. Current observations show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, supporting trader consensus around the 27°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Updated model runs closer to the date could shift odds if steering winds or precipitation intensity change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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