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Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?

icon for Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

25°C 43%

26°C 37%

23°C 14%

24°C 14%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

25°C 43%

26°C 37%

23°C 14%

24°C 14%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

19°C or below

$5 Обс.

1%

20°C

$5 Обс.

2%

21°C

$5 Обс.

2%

22°C

$1 Обс.

7%

23°C

$9 Обс.

14%

24°C

$0 Обс.

14%

25°C

$17 Обс.

43%

26°C

$98 Обс.

37%

27°C

$0 Обс.

7%

28°C

$0 Обс.

4%

29°C or higher

$5 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low of 25°C in central Tokyo on August 24 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, light winds, and persistent urban heat-island effects that elevate minimums relative to surrounding rural stations. This aligns with historical August baselines near 24–25°C and current forecasts showing 24–26°C ranges, producing the tight market clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Minor model spread around cloud cover and humidity could nudge readings one degree either way before official verification at the Tokyo station. Traders will monitor the final JMA update and real-time observations through the night of the 24th for any late adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$145
Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low of 25°C in central Tokyo on August 24 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, light winds, and persistent urban heat-island effects that elevate minimums relative to surrounding rural stations. This aligns with historical August baselines near 24–25°C and current forecasts showing 24–26°C ranges, producing the tight market clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Minor model spread around cloud cover and humidity could nudge readings one degree either way before official verification at the Tokyo station. Traders will monitor the final JMA update and real-time observations through the night of the 24th for any late adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$145
Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «25°C» з 43%, далі «26°C» з 37%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 22, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?» — «25°C» з 43%. Наступний — «26°C» з 37%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.