Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature near 22°C in Wuhan on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and dew points around 20–21°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Trader sentiment remains balanced between sub-18°C and above-26°C outcomes because short-term variability in cloud timing and any late-day clearing could shift the exact minimum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from global and regional models expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 22?
17°C or below 100%
27°C or higher 100%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
17°C or below
100%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
38%
27°C or higher
100%
17°C or below 100%
27°C or higher 100%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
17°C or below
100%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
38%
27°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature near 22°C in Wuhan on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and dew points around 20–21°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Trader sentiment remains balanced between sub-18°C and above-26°C outcomes because short-term variability in cloud timing and any late-day clearing could shift the exact minimum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from global and regional models expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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