Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Moolenaar's 65% share in 2024, underpins the 94.5% Republican implied probability. Democratic contenders face an August 4 primary with limited visibility, while the November 3 general election remains over four months away. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, primary surprises, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though structural factors have sustained the current trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$45,962 Обс.
$45,962 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$45,962 Обс.
$45,962 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,645 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$24,317 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Moolenaar's 65% share in 2024, underpins the 94.5% Republican implied probability. Democratic contenders face an August 4 primary with limited visibility, while the November 3 general election remains over four months away. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, primary surprises, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though structural factors have sustained the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,962Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Moolenaar's 65% share in 2024, underpins the 94.5% Republican implied probability. Democratic contenders face an August 4 primary with limited visibility, while the November 3 general election remains over four months away. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, primary surprises, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though structural factors have sustained the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$45,962Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Moolenaar's 65% share in 2024, underpins the 94.5% Republican implied probability. Democratic contenders face an August 4 primary with limited visibility, while the November 3 general election remains over four months away. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, primary surprises, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though structural factors have sustained the current trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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