Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, ranking among the more reliably Republican seats nationally based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar, first elected in 2014, launched his re-election bid early and faces no notable primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising or name recognition. Nonpartisan race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and absence of competitive challengers—underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee ahead of the August primaries and November general election. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar R+15 districts show limited sensitivity to such shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$45,972 Обс.
$45,972 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$45,972 Обс.
$45,972 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,645 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$24,326 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, ranking among the more reliably Republican seats nationally based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar, first elected in 2014, launched his re-election bid early and faces no notable primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising or name recognition. Nonpartisan race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and absence of competitive challengers—underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee ahead of the August primaries and November general election. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar R+15 districts show limited sensitivity to such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,972Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, ranking among the more reliably Republican seats nationally based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar, first elected in 2014, launched his re-election bid early and faces no notable primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising or name recognition. Nonpartisan race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and absence of competitive challengers—underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee ahead of the August primaries and November general election. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar R+15 districts show limited sensitivity to such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$45,972Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, ranking among the more reliably Republican seats nationally based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar, first elected in 2014, launched his re-election bid early and faces no notable primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising or name recognition. Nonpartisan race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and absence of competitive challengers—underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee ahead of the August primaries and November general election. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar R+15 districts show limited sensitivity to such shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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