Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for the April market, driven by the absence of any triggering events through April 18, including no US forces entering Iran, WTI crude remaining well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes announced, no US military action against Cuba, and no arrests tied to Epstein disclosures. Recent de-escalations bolster this positioning: Israel agreed to a 10-day Lebanon ceasefire on April 17 amid US-brokered talks, while diplomats advanced US-Iran negotiations, reducing Hormuz Strait disruption risks. The late-April FOMC meeting poses the primary remaining catalyst for a Fed shift, but base rates favor continuity amid stable inflation data. With 12 days left, tail risks persist but appear contained per crowd wisdom.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNothing Ever Happens: April
Nothing Ever Happens: April
Nothing
$40,201 Обс.
$40,201 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
Nothing
$40,201 Обс.
$40,201 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for the April market, driven by the absence of any triggering events through April 18, including no US forces entering Iran, WTI crude remaining well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes announced, no US military action against Cuba, and no arrests tied to Epstein disclosures. Recent de-escalations bolster this positioning: Israel agreed to a 10-day Lebanon ceasefire on April 17 amid US-brokered talks, while diplomats advanced US-Iran negotiations, reducing Hormuz Strait disruption risks. The late-April FOMC meeting poses the primary remaining catalyst for a Fed shift, but base rates favor continuity amid stable inflation data. With 12 days left, tail risks persist but appear contained per crowd wisdom.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,201Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for the April market, driven by the absence of any triggering events through April 18, including no US forces entering Iran, WTI crude remaining well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes announced, no US military action against Cuba, and no arrests tied to Epstein disclosures. Recent de-escalations bolster this positioning: Israel agreed to a 10-day Lebanon ceasefire on April 17 amid US-brokered talks, while diplomats advanced US-Iran negotiations, reducing Hormuz Strait disruption risks. The late-April FOMC meeting poses the primary remaining catalyst for a Fed shift, but base rates favor continuity amid stable inflation data. With 12 days left, tail risks persist but appear contained per crowd wisdom.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
Обсяг
$40,201Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for the April market, driven by the absence of any triggering events through April 18, including no US forces entering Iran, WTI crude remaining well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes announced, no US military action against Cuba, and no arrests tied to Epstein disclosures. Recent de-escalations bolster this positioning: Israel agreed to a 10-day Lebanon ceasefire on April 17 amid US-brokered talks, while diplomats advanced US-Iran negotiations, reducing Hormuz Strait disruption risks. The late-April FOMC meeting poses the primary remaining catalyst for a Fed shift, but base rates favor continuity amid stable inflation data. With 12 days left, tail risks persist but appear contained per crowd wisdom.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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