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icon for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?
Політика·Вилучити

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

icon for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?
Політика·Вилучити

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

>99% шанс
Polymarket

$15,203 Обс.

>99% шанс
Polymarket

$15,203 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) resigned from her seat in Florida's 20th Congressional District effective immediately on April 21, 2026, moments before a House Ethics Committee hearing on potential sanctions, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on her exit by May 31. This followed her January federal indictment on charges of stealing $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster funds for her 2022 campaign, prompting bipartisan calls for resignation or expulsion from members like Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Tim Burchett. The ethics panel's findings of House rule violations sealed her departure, leaving a vacancy ahead of a likely special election. While reversal is theoretically possible via House acceptance denial, no such precedent exists amid confirmed resignation and ongoing prosecution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$15,203
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) resigned from her seat in Florida's 20th Congressional District effective immediately on April 21, 2026, moments before a House Ethics Committee hearing on potential sanctions, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on her exit by May 31. This followed her January federal indictment on charges of stealing $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster funds for her 2022 campaign, prompting bipartisan calls for resignation or expulsion from members like Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Tim Burchett. The ethics panel's findings of House rule violations sealed her departure, leaving a vacancy ahead of a likely special election. While reversal is theoretically possible via House acceptance denial, no such precedent exists amid confirmed resignation and ongoing prosecution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$15,203
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

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Часті запитання

«Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 100% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 100¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 100%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?» згенерував $15.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 13, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?» — 100% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 100% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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