The resignation of Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales in April 2026, following a personal scandal, transformed the Texas 23rd district into an open-seat contest ahead of the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the March primary and May runoff, while Katy Padilla Stout emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate at 68 percent. A March public poll showed the matchup within a narrow margin, yet structural advantages for Republicans and the recent consolidation of the GOP ticket continue to shape implied probabilities, with the general election still months away.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$26,158 Обс.
$26,158 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
29%
$26,158 Обс.
$26,158 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,547 Обс.
68%
Democratic Party
$11,611 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The resignation of Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales in April 2026, following a personal scandal, transformed the Texas 23rd district into an open-seat contest ahead of the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the March primary and May runoff, while Katy Padilla Stout emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate at 68 percent. A March public poll showed the matchup within a narrow margin, yet structural advantages for Republicans and the recent consolidation of the GOP ticket continue to shape implied probabilities, with the general election still months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,158Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The resignation of Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales in April 2026, following a personal scandal, transformed the Texas 23rd district into an open-seat contest ahead of the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the March primary and May runoff, while Katy Padilla Stout emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate at 68 percent. A March public poll showed the matchup within a narrow margin, yet structural advantages for Republicans and the recent consolidation of the GOP ticket continue to shape implied probabilities, with the general election still months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,158Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resignation of Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales in April 2026, following a personal scandal, transformed the Texas 23rd district into an open-seat contest ahead of the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the March primary and May runoff, while Katy Padilla Stout emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate at 68 percent. A March public poll showed the matchup within a narrow margin, yet structural advantages for Republicans and the recent consolidation of the GOP ticket continue to shape implied probabilities, with the general election still months away.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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