No verified Ukrainian military action has reached Moscow in the past 30 days, despite multiple large-scale drone incursions intercepted by Russian air defenses in mid-March, including claims of over 250 drones downed in one of the biggest attacks of the year. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes have targeted Russian oil refineries in regions like Samara Oblast and military assets in occupied Crimea, such as warships Yamal and Azov on April 18, signaling Kyiv's expanding long-range capabilities amid Moscow's intensified missile and drone barrages on Ukrainian cities. Failed Orthodox Easter truce efforts and Russia's warnings to European drone suppliers underscore escalation risks, while layered defenses around the capital maintain a high barrier to strikes on Moscow proper before April 30.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$162,111 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
7%
$162,111 Обс.
April 30
$12,698 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.No verified Ukrainian military action has reached Moscow in the past 30 days, despite multiple large-scale drone incursions intercepted by Russian air defenses in mid-March, including claims of over 250 drones downed in one of the biggest attacks of the year. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes have targeted Russian oil refineries in regions like Samara Oblast and military assets in occupied Crimea, such as warships Yamal and Azov on April 18, signaling Kyiv's expanding long-range capabilities amid Moscow's intensified missile and drone barrages on Ukrainian cities. Failed Orthodox Easter truce efforts and Russia's warnings to European drone suppliers underscore escalation risks, while layered defenses around the capital maintain a high barrier to strikes on Moscow proper before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$162,111Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.No verified Ukrainian military action has reached Moscow in the past 30 days, despite multiple large-scale drone incursions intercepted by Russian air defenses in mid-March, including claims of over 250 drones downed in one of the biggest attacks of the year. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes have targeted Russian oil refineries in regions like Samara Oblast and military assets in occupied Crimea, such as warships Yamal and Azov on April 18, signaling Kyiv's expanding long-range capabilities amid Moscow's intensified missile and drone barrages on Ukrainian cities. Failed Orthodox Easter truce efforts and Russia's warnings to European drone suppliers underscore escalation risks, while layered defenses around the capital maintain a high barrier to strikes on Moscow proper before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Обсяг
$162,111Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No verified Ukrainian military action has reached Moscow in the past 30 days, despite multiple large-scale drone incursions intercepted by Russian air defenses in mid-March, including claims of over 250 drones downed in one of the biggest attacks of the year. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes have targeted Russian oil refineries in regions like Samara Oblast and military assets in occupied Crimea, such as warships Yamal and Azov on April 18, signaling Kyiv's expanding long-range capabilities amid Moscow's intensified missile and drone barrages on Ukrainian cities. Failed Orthodox Easter truce efforts and Russia's warnings to European drone suppliers underscore escalation risks, while layered defenses around the capital maintain a high barrier to strikes on Moscow proper before April 30.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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