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Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

icon for Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

0% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
0% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan publicly announces that he is seeking to become the highest-ranking Republican in the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that convenes in January 2027, at any point between market creation and the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for that Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a person will run to be the "highest-ranking Republican" if they are running for either Speaker of the House or, if that is not applicable, the top leader of the House Republican Conference (usually the Minority Leader). A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine, and third-party speculation or reports that Jim Jordan may run absent an announcement by him, will not count. Once a qualifying announcement has been made within the market's time frame, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether Jim Jordan subsequently withdraws, loses, or the position is filled by another person. If Jim Jordan does not make a qualifying announcement on or before the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for the Congress convening in January 2027 (or, if that election has not occurred, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements by Jim Jordan (e.g., via speech or a post from a verified social media account); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent announcements by Rep. Jim Jordan have intensified speculation about a potential House GOP leadership bid. In early September 2026, the Ohio Republican stated he would not seek term-limit waivers to retain the Judiciary Committee gavel or return to Oversight leadership after the current Congress, prompting immediate chatter about positioning for Speaker or minority leader roles. Jordan has repeatedly emphasized focus on retaining the House majority in the November midterms while traveling extensively to support candidates. His prior unsuccessful Speaker campaigns and efforts to broaden internal support create competitive balance, as the outcome hinges on election results, Johnson’s status, and any explicit announcement. Late developments such as caucus dynamics or public statements could shift trader assessments in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan publicly announces that he is seeking to become the highest-ranking Republican in the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that convenes in January 2027, at any point between market creation and the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for that Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, a person will run to be the "highest-ranking Republican" if they are running for either Speaker of the House or, if that is not applicable, the top leader of the House Republican Conference (usually the Minority Leader).

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine, and third-party speculation or reports that Jim Jordan may run absent an announcement by him, will not count.

Once a qualifying announcement has been made within the market's time frame, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether Jim Jordan subsequently withdraws, loses, or the position is filled by another person.

If Jim Jordan does not make a qualifying announcement on or before the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for the Congress convening in January 2027 (or, if that election has not occurred, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official statements by Jim Jordan (e.g., via speech or a post from a verified social media account); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan publicly announces that he is seeking to become the highest-ranking Republican in the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that convenes in January 2027, at any point between market creation and the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for that Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a person will run to be the "highest-ranking Republican" if they are running for either Speaker of the House or, if that is not applicable, the top leader of the House Republican Conference (usually the Minority Leader). A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine, and third-party speculation or reports that Jim Jordan may run absent an announcement by him, will not count. Once a qualifying announcement has been made within the market's time frame, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether Jim Jordan subsequently withdraws, loses, or the position is filled by another person. If Jim Jordan does not make a qualifying announcement on or before the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for the Congress convening in January 2027 (or, if that election has not occurred, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements by Jim Jordan (e.g., via speech or a post from a verified social media account); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$60
Дата завершення
Feb 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan publicly announces that he is seeking to become the highest-ranking Republican in the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that convenes in January 2027, at any point between market creation and the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for that Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a person will run to be the "highest-ranking Republican" if they are running for either Speaker of the House or, if that is not applicable, the top leader of the House Republican Conference (usually the Minority Leader). A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine, and third-party speculation or reports that Jim Jordan may run absent an announcement by him, will not count. Once a qualifying announcement has been made within the market's time frame, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether Jim Jordan subsequently withdraws, loses, or the position is filled by another person. If Jim Jordan does not make a qualifying announcement on or before the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for the Congress convening in January 2027 (or, if that election has not occurred, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements by Jim Jordan (e.g., via speech or a post from a verified social media account); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent announcements by Rep. Jim Jordan have intensified speculation about a potential House GOP leadership bid. In early September 2026, the Ohio Republican stated he would not seek term-limit waivers to retain the Judiciary Committee gavel or return to Oversight leadership after the current Congress, prompting immediate chatter about positioning for Speaker or minority leader roles. Jordan has repeatedly emphasized focus on retaining the House majority in the November midterms while traveling extensively to support candidates. His prior unsuccessful Speaker campaigns and efforts to broaden internal support create competitive balance, as the outcome hinges on election results, Johnson’s status, and any explicit announcement. Late developments such as caucus dynamics or public statements could shift trader assessments in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan publicly announces that he is seeking to become the highest-ranking Republican in the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that convenes in January 2027, at any point between market creation and the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for that Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, a person will run to be the "highest-ranking Republican" if they are running for either Speaker of the House or, if that is not applicable, the top leader of the House Republican Conference (usually the Minority Leader).

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine, and third-party speculation or reports that Jim Jordan may run absent an announcement by him, will not count.

Once a qualifying announcement has been made within the market's time frame, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether Jim Jordan subsequently withdraws, loses, or the position is filled by another person.

If Jim Jordan does not make a qualifying announcement on or before the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for the Congress convening in January 2027 (or, if that election has not occurred, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official statements by Jim Jordan (e.g., via speech or a post from a verified social media account); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan publicly announces that he is seeking to become the highest-ranking Republican in the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that convenes in January 2027, at any point between market creation and the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for that Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a person will run to be the "highest-ranking Republican" if they are running for either Speaker of the House or, if that is not applicable, the top leader of the House Republican Conference (usually the Minority Leader). A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine, and third-party speculation or reports that Jim Jordan may run absent an announcement by him, will not count. Once a qualifying announcement has been made within the market's time frame, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether Jim Jordan subsequently withdraws, loses, or the position is filled by another person. If Jim Jordan does not make a qualifying announcement on or before the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for the Congress convening in January 2027 (or, if that election has not occurred, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements by Jim Jordan (e.g., via speech or a post from a verified social media account); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$60
Дата завершення
Feb 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 52% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 52¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 52%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 15, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?» — 52% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 52% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.