President Trump's military campaign against Iran, launched with Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, has proceeded without a formal congressional war declaration, featuring airstrikes that eliminated Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and targeted nuclear sites amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Recent de-escalation signals dominate trader consensus: a two-week ceasefire holds as of April 16, the strait fully reopened per U.S. and Iranian statements, and Trump announced the war "very close to being over" with peace talks potentially resuming this weekend and nuclear concessions from Tehran. Senate Republicans rejected Democratic war powers resolutions on April 15, signaling no imminent push for official declaration, while low trader odds reflect historical reluctance for Congress to authorize amid executive actions and diplomatic off-ramps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЧи оголосить Трамп війну Ірану...?
Чи оголосить Трамп війну Ірану...?
$863,905 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
30 квітня
4%
$863,905 Обс.
30 квітня
$311,810 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's military campaign against Iran, launched with Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, has proceeded without a formal congressional war declaration, featuring airstrikes that eliminated Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and targeted nuclear sites amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Recent de-escalation signals dominate trader consensus: a two-week ceasefire holds as of April 16, the strait fully reopened per U.S. and Iranian statements, and Trump announced the war "very close to being over" with peace talks potentially resuming this weekend and nuclear concessions from Tehran. Senate Republicans rejected Democratic war powers resolutions on April 15, signaling no imminent push for official declaration, while low trader odds reflect historical reluctance for Congress to authorize amid executive actions and diplomatic off-ramps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$863,905Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's military campaign against Iran, launched with Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, has proceeded without a formal congressional war declaration, featuring airstrikes that eliminated Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and targeted nuclear sites amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Recent de-escalation signals dominate trader consensus: a two-week ceasefire holds as of April 16, the strait fully reopened per U.S. and Iranian statements, and Trump announced the war "very close to being over" with peace talks potentially resuming this weekend and nuclear concessions from Tehran. Senate Republicans rejected Democratic war powers resolutions on April 15, signaling no imminent push for official declaration, while low trader odds reflect historical reluctance for Congress to authorize amid executive actions and diplomatic off-ramps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$863,905Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's military campaign against Iran, launched with Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, has proceeded without a formal congressional war declaration, featuring airstrikes that eliminated Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and targeted nuclear sites amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Recent de-escalation signals dominate trader consensus: a two-week ceasefire holds as of April 16, the strait fully reopened per U.S. and Iranian statements, and Trump announced the war "very close to being over" with peace talks potentially resuming this weekend and nuclear concessions from Tehran. Senate Republicans rejected Democratic war powers resolutions on April 15, signaling no imminent push for official declaration, while low trader odds reflect historical reluctance for Congress to authorize amid executive actions and diplomatic off-ramps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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