Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest or detention by June 30, 2026, reflecting the total absence of any public DOJ, FBI, or law enforcement investigation into him personally. Recent tensions stem from a months-long policy feud between Anthropic and the Pentagon over Claude AI model restrictions for military use—prompting Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to blacklist the firm and President Trump to direct agencies to sever ties—but this remains a contractual and national security dispute, not criminal. Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles signals de-escalation, further diminishing arrest risks absent unforeseen indictments, scandals, or executive actions escalating to charges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$151,382 KL.
$151,382 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$151,382 KL.
$151,382 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest or detention by June 30, 2026, reflecting the total absence of any public DOJ, FBI, or law enforcement investigation into him personally. Recent tensions stem from a months-long policy feud between Anthropic and the Pentagon over Claude AI model restrictions for military use—prompting Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to blacklist the firm and President Trump to direct agencies to sever ties—but this remains a contractual and national security dispute, not criminal. Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles signals de-escalation, further diminishing arrest risks absent unforeseen indictments, scandals, or executive actions escalating to charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$151,382Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest or detention by June 30, 2026, reflecting the total absence of any public DOJ, FBI, or law enforcement investigation into him personally. Recent tensions stem from a months-long policy feud between Anthropic and the Pentagon over Claude AI model restrictions for military use—prompting Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to blacklist the firm and President Trump to direct agencies to sever ties—but this remains a contractual and national security dispute, not criminal. Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles signals de-escalation, further diminishing arrest risks absent unforeseen indictments, scandals, or executive actions escalating to charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$151,382Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest or detention by June 30, 2026, reflecting the total absence of any public DOJ, FBI, or law enforcement investigation into him personally. Recent tensions stem from a months-long policy feud between Anthropic and the Pentagon over Claude AI model restrictions for military use—prompting Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to blacklist the firm and President Trump to direct agencies to sever ties—but this remains a contractual and national security dispute, not criminal. Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles signals de-escalation, further diminishing arrest risks absent unforeseen indictments, scandals, or executive actions escalating to charges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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