Incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the Colorado Democratic Senate primary on June 30, 2026, reflecting his high name recognition (92%), strong fundraising, and establishment support as the petition-qualified frontrunner. State Senator Julie Gonzales holds 13.4% following her strong performance at the March 28-29 Democratic state assembly in Pueblo, where she secured the top ballot line with over 30% delegate backing, positioning her as the primary progressive challenger launched in December 2025. A February Data for Progress poll of 739 likely primary voters showed Hickenlooper at 45% initially versus Gonzales' 13%, with 37% undecided, though message-testing scenarios narrowed the gap; traders prioritize incumbency advantages amid low visibility for longshots like Anthony Zimpfer and Brashad Hasley. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtColorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner
John Hickenlooper 87%
Julie Gonzales 13.4%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
Brashad Hasley <1%
$24,453 KL.
$24,453 KL.
John Hickenlooper
87%
Julie Gonzales
13%
Anthony Zimpfer
<1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
John Hickenlooper 87%
Julie Gonzales 13.4%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
Brashad Hasley <1%
$24,453 KL.
$24,453 KL.
John Hickenlooper
87%
Julie Gonzales
13%
Anthony Zimpfer
<1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the Colorado Democratic Senate primary on June 30, 2026, reflecting his high name recognition (92%), strong fundraising, and establishment support as the petition-qualified frontrunner. State Senator Julie Gonzales holds 13.4% following her strong performance at the March 28-29 Democratic state assembly in Pueblo, where she secured the top ballot line with over 30% delegate backing, positioning her as the primary progressive challenger launched in December 2025. A February Data for Progress poll of 739 likely primary voters showed Hickenlooper at 45% initially versus Gonzales' 13%, with 37% undecided, though message-testing scenarios narrowed the gap; traders prioritize incumbency advantages amid low visibility for longshots like Anthony Zimpfer and Brashad Hasley. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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