Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI data showing acceleration and May expectations near 4.2% year-over-year driven by energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. Solid economic expansion and a stable labor market have reinforced the central bank's recent pause stance, with market-implied odds reflecting limited scope for either a hike or cut absent clearer disinflation signals. The June 16-17 meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent key near-term catalysts that could test this consensus if inflation moderates faster than anticipated or growth data weaken materially.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông thay đổi 93%
Tăng 25 điểm cơ bản 6.0%
Giảm 25 điểm cơ bản 1.6%
Giảm hơn 50 điểm cơ bản <1%
$8,944,288 KL.
$8,944,288 KL.
Jul 29, 2026
Giảm hơn 50 điểm cơ bản
1%
Giảm 25 điểm cơ bản
2%
Không thay đổi
93%
Tăng 25 điểm cơ bản
6%
Tăng 50 điểm cơ bản trở lên
<1%
Không thay đổi 93%
Tăng 25 điểm cơ bản 6.0%
Giảm 25 điểm cơ bản 1.6%
Giảm hơn 50 điểm cơ bản <1%
$8,944,288 KL.
$8,944,288 KL.
Jul 29, 2026
Giảm hơn 50 điểm cơ bản
$1,240,159 KL.
1%
Giảm 25 điểm cơ bản
$977,865 KL.
2%
Không thay đổi
$1,296,745 KL.
93%
Tăng 25 điểm cơ bản
$3,958,804 KL.
6%
Tăng 50 điểm cơ bản trở lên
$1,470,716 KL.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI data showing acceleration and May expectations near 4.2% year-over-year driven by energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. Solid economic expansion and a stable labor market have reinforced the central bank's recent pause stance, with market-implied odds reflecting limited scope for either a hike or cut absent clearer disinflation signals. The June 16-17 meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent key near-term catalysts that could test this consensus if inflation moderates faster than anticipated or growth data weaken materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,944,288Ngày kết thúc
Jul 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI data showing acceleration and May expectations near 4.2% year-over-year driven by energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. Solid economic expansion and a stable labor market have reinforced the central bank's recent pause stance, with market-implied odds reflecting limited scope for either a hike or cut absent clearer disinflation signals. The June 16-17 meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent key near-term catalysts that could test this consensus if inflation moderates faster than anticipated or growth data weaken materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Khối lượng
$8,944,288Ngày kết thúc
Jul 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI data showing acceleration and May expectations near 4.2% year-over-year driven by energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. Solid economic expansion and a stable labor market have reinforced the central bank's recent pause stance, with market-implied odds reflecting limited scope for either a hike or cut absent clearer disinflation signals. The June 16-17 meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent key near-term catalysts that could test this consensus if inflation moderates faster than anticipated or growth data weaken materially.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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