Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
26°C 43%
25°C 23%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
23%
26°C
43%
27°C
28%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 23%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$0 KL.
8%
24°C
$0 KL.
6%
25°C
$49 KL.
23%
26°C
$230 KL.
43%
27°C
$97 KL.
28%
28°C
$0 KL.
9%
29°C
$0 KL.
7%
30°C
$5 KL.
11%
31°C
$5 KL.
5%
32°C
$5 KL.
2%
33°C or higher
$122 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$514Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$514Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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