Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 6 project a high near 99–100°F under sunny skies, light southeast winds, and a lingering heat wave pattern, driving the near-even market split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points support afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 92.5°F climatological average, while minor model differences in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing create the tight implied probabilities. Official Dallas/Fort Worth observations from the prior days, reaching 99–100°F, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final NWS updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 44%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 5%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 44%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 5%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 6 project a high near 99–100°F under sunny skies, light southeast winds, and a lingering heat wave pattern, driving the near-even market split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points support afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 92.5°F climatological average, while minor model differences in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing create the tight implied probabilities. Official Dallas/Fort Worth observations from the prior days, reaching 99–100°F, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final NWS updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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