Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will reach a daily maximum near 25°C under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and high pressure around 1020 hPa, consistent with early September climatology where average highs fall from 26–27°C early in the month to 23–25°C by mid-September. These conditions, with minimal cloud cover and no significant moisture advection, support the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C as the most probable peak while leaving limited room for 25°C or higher. Official station data and real-time observations will determine final resolution, with any late-day cooling from sustained winds or minor model adjustments able to shift outcomes within the narrow 23–25°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 8?
24°C 74%
25°C 15%
23°C 11%
26°C 3%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
74%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 74%
25°C 15%
23°C 11%
26°C 3%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
74%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will reach a daily maximum near 25°C under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and high pressure around 1020 hPa, consistent with early September climatology where average highs fall from 26–27°C early in the month to 23–25°C by mid-September. These conditions, with minimal cloud cover and no significant moisture advection, support the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C as the most probable peak while leaving limited room for 25°C or higher. Official station data and real-time observations will determine final resolution, with any late-day cooling from sustained winds or minor model adjustments able to shift outcomes within the narrow 23–25°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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