**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high near 30°C for Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, driving the 95% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher.** Official and ensemble guidance, including runs aligned with NMC and international sources, shows stable high pressure supporting daytime warming to 29–31°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average highs reach 27°C. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover further anchor this outlook. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unforecasted northerly flow shift could trim maxima below 26°C, though current short-range model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on September 2?
26°C or higher 93%
25°C 9%
24°C 4.0%
21°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
93%
26°C or higher 93%
25°C 9%
24°C 4.0%
21°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high near 30°C for Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, driving the 95% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher.** Official and ensemble guidance, including runs aligned with NMC and international sources, shows stable high pressure supporting daytime warming to 29–31°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average highs reach 27°C. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover further anchor this outlook. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unforecasted northerly flow shift could trim maxima below 26°C, though current short-range model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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