Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 18, 2026, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance projecting 77–84°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. Overnight observations at KLAX peaked at 61°F under lingering marine layer clouds, but models anticipate rapid clearing and solar heating by mid-morning, with light offshore winds aiding inland warming—well above April's climatological average of 68°F. This positioning aligns with recent model consensus from NOAA ensembles showing minimal onshore flow. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly stubborn stratus decks or sudden cooling sea breezes delaying burn-off, though such scenarios are low-probability given current synoptic patterns; hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$32,331 KL.
$32,331 KL.
Apr 18, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
Yes
72°F or higher 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$32,331 KL.
$32,331 KL.
Apr 18, 2026
53°F or below
$1,595 KL.
No
54-55°F
$1,446 KL.
No
56-57°F
$781 KL.
No
58-59°F
$1,211 KL.
No
60-61°F
$3,172 KL.
No
62-63°F
$2,761 KL.
No
64-65°F
$2,057 KL.
No
66-67°F
$3,426 KL.
No
68-69°F
$3,146 KL.
No
70-71°F
$3,816 KL.
No
72°F or higher
$8,918 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 18, 2026, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance projecting 77–84°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. Overnight observations at KLAX peaked at 61°F under lingering marine layer clouds, but models anticipate rapid clearing and solar heating by mid-morning, with light offshore winds aiding inland warming—well above April's climatological average of 68°F. This positioning aligns with recent model consensus from NOAA ensembles showing minimal onshore flow. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly stubborn stratus decks or sudden cooling sea breezes delaying burn-off, though such scenarios are low-probability given current synoptic patterns; hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,331Ngày kết thúc
Apr 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 18, 2026, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance projecting 77–84°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. Overnight observations at KLAX peaked at 61°F under lingering marine layer clouds, but models anticipate rapid clearing and solar heating by mid-morning, with light offshore winds aiding inland warming—well above April's climatological average of 68°F. This positioning aligns with recent model consensus from NOAA ensembles showing minimal onshore flow. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly stubborn stratus decks or sudden cooling sea breezes delaying burn-off, though such scenarios are low-probability given current synoptic patterns; hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$32,331Ngày kết thúc
Apr 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 18, 2026, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance projecting 77–84°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. Overnight observations at KLAX peaked at 61°F under lingering marine layer clouds, but models anticipate rapid clearing and solar heating by mid-morning, with light offshore winds aiding inland warming—well above April's climatological average of 68°F. This positioning aligns with recent model consensus from NOAA ensembles showing minimal onshore flow. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly stubborn stratus decks or sudden cooling sea breezes delaying burn-off, though such scenarios are low-probability given current synoptic patterns; hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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