Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers remain the dominant factor capping Lucknow's daytime heating, keeping the implied probability highest for a 32°C peak on August 25 at 34%. Persistent humid conditions near 80-90% and frequent rainfall limit solar insolation, aligning with climatological norms where August averages hover around 32°C. Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and model consensus point to similar suppression over the next 48 hours, though breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 33-34°C. High uncertainty across the market distribution reflects variability in rainfall timing and intensity, with lower outcomes favored if heavier precipitation arrives and higher ones if clearer spells develop. Official forecasts will update ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
32°C 34%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
34%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
34%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers remain the dominant factor capping Lucknow's daytime heating, keeping the implied probability highest for a 32°C peak on August 25 at 34%. Persistent humid conditions near 80-90% and frequent rainfall limit solar insolation, aligning with climatological norms where August averages hover around 32°C. Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and model consensus point to similar suppression over the next 48 hours, though breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 33-34°C. High uncertainty across the market distribution reflects variability in rainfall timing and intensity, with lower outcomes favored if heavier precipitation arrives and higher ones if clearer spells develop. Official forecasts will update ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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