Clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly winds are expected to drive strong daytime heating across Madrid on September 21, with official forecasts from multiple models indicating a peak around 32–33°C under dry conditions. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date, reflecting a broader warm anomaly persisting into late September. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on precise afternoon wind speeds and any subtle model variations in boundary-layer mixing, as even small changes can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight cluster of guidance from GFS and European models, with resolution based on official station readings. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
32°C 47%
33°C 41%
31°C 7.0%
34°C 4%
MỚI
$16,504 KL.
MỚI
$16,504 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
47%
33°C
41%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 47%
33°C 41%
31°C 7.0%
34°C 4%
MỚI
$16,504 KL.
MỚI
$16,504 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$712 KL.
<1%
27°C
$300 KL.
<1%
28°C
$504 KL.
<1%
29°C
$135 KL.
1%
30°C
$317 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,600 KL.
7%
32°C
$5,655 KL.
47%
33°C
$4,674 KL.
41%
34°C
$1,976 KL.
4%
35°C
$475 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$155 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly winds are expected to drive strong daytime heating across Madrid on September 21, with official forecasts from multiple models indicating a peak around 32–33°C under dry conditions. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date, reflecting a broader warm anomaly persisting into late September. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on precise afternoon wind speeds and any subtle model variations in boundary-layer mixing, as even small changes can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight cluster of guidance from GFS and European models, with resolution based on official station readings. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,504Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly winds are expected to drive strong daytime heating across Madrid on September 21, with official forecasts from multiple models indicating a peak around 32–33°C under dry conditions. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date, reflecting a broader warm anomaly persisting into late September. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on precise afternoon wind speeds and any subtle model variations in boundary-layer mixing, as even small changes can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight cluster of guidance from GFS and European models, with resolution based on official station readings. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,504Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly winds are expected to drive strong daytime heating across Madrid on September 21, with official forecasts from multiple models indicating a peak around 32–33°C under dry conditions. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date, reflecting a broader warm anomaly persisting into late September. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on precise afternoon wind speeds and any subtle model variations in boundary-layer mixing, as even small changes can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight cluster of guidance from GFS and European models, with resolution based on official station readings. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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