National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 80°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as data finalizes via Weather Underground records. This peak, 4°F below the April climatological normal of 84°F, stemmed from a recent cold front introducing cooler mid-level air masses, persistent gusty northeast winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 32 mph that suppressed sea breeze development and convective heating, plus extreme drought limiting evaporative cooling amid partly cloudy skies. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF accurately forecasted this subdued boundary layer warming. Only a rare post-audit revision by NWS—historically negligible for finalized automated data—could challenge resolution, with markets typically locking post-midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on April 21?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$94,216 KL.
$94,216 KL.
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$94,216 KL.
$94,216 KL.
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 19, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 80°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as data finalizes via Weather Underground records. This peak, 4°F below the April climatological normal of 84°F, stemmed from a recent cold front introducing cooler mid-level air masses, persistent gusty northeast winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 32 mph that suppressed sea breeze development and convective heating, plus extreme drought limiting evaporative cooling amid partly cloudy skies. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF accurately forecasted this subdued boundary layer warming. Only a rare post-audit revision by NWS—historically negligible for finalized automated data—could challenge resolution, with markets typically locking post-midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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