National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 87.1°F around 2 PM EDT, with subsequent hours at 86°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F bin as markets near resolution. This aligns with hourly METAR data from NOAA, the authoritative source for such measurements, amid south-southeast winds and partly cloudy skies that capped daytime heating below pre-event model forecasts of 89°F. Historical May 1 averages hover near 85°F, making this slightly above normal but short of records. Final daily climatological reports could prompt minor revisions if late-afternoon peaks emerge or quality control adjusts readings, though such changes are rare for established highs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on May 1?
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$128,399 KL.
$128,399 KL.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$128,399 KL.
$128,399 KL.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 87.1°F around 2 PM EDT, with subsequent hours at 86°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F bin as markets near resolution. This aligns with hourly METAR data from NOAA, the authoritative source for such measurements, amid south-southeast winds and partly cloudy skies that capped daytime heating below pre-event model forecasts of 89°F. Historical May 1 averages hover near 85°F, making this slightly above normal but short of records. Final daily climatological reports could prompt minor revisions if late-afternoon peaks emerge or quality control adjusts readings, though such changes are rare for established highs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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