Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,742 KL.
$32,742 KL.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,742 KL.
$32,742 KL.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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