A cold front and associated polar air mass are driving São Paulo’s forecast for September 7, 2026, with official models showing suppressed daytime highs near 12–15 °C amid persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and light rain or drizzle. This advection of cooler mid-latitude air, following several days of warmer conditions, reduces solar insolation and limits boundary-layer warming, keeping maxima well below September climatology. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 13–14 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in peak temperature once the front passes, though slight differences in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from regional and global models over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 7?
14°C 32%
13°C 32%
12°C 13%
16°C or higher 12%
6°C or below
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
32%
14°C
32%
15°C
10%
16°C or higher
12%
14°C 32%
13°C 32%
12°C 13%
16°C or higher 12%
6°C or below
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
32%
14°C
32%
15°C
10%
16°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A cold front and associated polar air mass are driving São Paulo’s forecast for September 7, 2026, with official models showing suppressed daytime highs near 12–15 °C amid persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and light rain or drizzle. This advection of cooler mid-latitude air, following several days of warmer conditions, reduces solar insolation and limits boundary-layer warming, keeping maxima well below September climatology. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 13–14 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in peak temperature once the front passes, though slight differences in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from regional and global models over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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