Recent short-range forecasts from agencies and models show Seoul-Incheon highs centered near 25–27°C for September 26, driven by a weakening autumn high-pressure ridge, moderate northeasterly flow, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Light showers or drizzle in some guidance could further cap the maximum through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while clearer intervals in others allow brief warming toward the upper end of the range. Historical September climatology places average daily maxima near 23–26°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak and any resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 26?
24°C 39%
29°C 39%
30°C 39%
22°C 38%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
23%
28°C
19%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
29°C 39%
30°C 39%
22°C 38%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
23%
28°C
19%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies and models show Seoul-Incheon highs centered near 25–27°C for September 26, driven by a weakening autumn high-pressure ridge, moderate northeasterly flow, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Light showers or drizzle in some guidance could further cap the maximum through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while clearer intervals in others allow brief warming toward the upper end of the range. Historical September climatology places average daily maxima near 23–26°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak and any resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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