Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on September 26, which is anchoring trader preference for the 27°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are expected to limit surface heating despite southerly flow, keeping daily maxima most likely in the 29–32°C band that accounts for the clustered 20% odds on 28–33°C. This aligns with late-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where rain events frequently suppress peaks by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky potential. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and high-resolution ensembles due in the next 24–48 hours will refine intensity and timing, directly influencing resolution odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 26?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 26?
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
27°C or below
20%
28°C
13%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
22%
32°C
21%
33°C
20%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
20%
28°C
$61 KL.
13%
29°C
$8 KL.
36%
30°C
$0 KL.
22%
31°C
$0 KL.
22%
32°C
$0 KL.
21%
33°C
$0 KL.
20%
34°C
$187 KL.
3%
35°C
$0 KL.
3%
36°C
$0 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on September 26, which is anchoring trader preference for the 27°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are expected to limit surface heating despite southerly flow, keeping daily maxima most likely in the 29–32°C band that accounts for the clustered 20% odds on 28–33°C. This aligns with late-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where rain events frequently suppress peaks by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky potential. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and high-resolution ensembles due in the next 24–48 hours will refine intensity and timing, directly influencing resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on September 26, which is anchoring trader preference for the 27°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are expected to limit surface heating despite southerly flow, keeping daily maxima most likely in the 29–32°C band that accounts for the clustered 20% odds on 28–33°C. This aligns with late-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where rain events frequently suppress peaks by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky potential. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and high-resolution ensembles due in the next 24–48 hours will refine intensity and timing, directly influencing resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$61Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on September 26, which is anchoring trader preference for the 27°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are expected to limit surface heating despite southerly flow, keeping daily maxima most likely in the 29–32°C band that accounts for the clustered 20% odds on 28–33°C. This aligns with late-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where rain events frequently suppress peaks by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky potential. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and high-resolution ensembles due in the next 24–48 hours will refine intensity and timing, directly influencing resolution odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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