Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors SpaceX and Cerebras Systems completing initial public offerings before year-end 2026, with market-implied odds at 95% for both, driven by credible reports of confidential S-1 filings, banker engagements, and testing-the-waters meetings for SpaceX's anticipated June listing at over $1.75 trillion valuation, alongside Cerebras' AI hardware momentum. Discord (59%) and Anthropic (53%) show moderate optimism from developer ecosystem growth and recent funding, but OpenAI (38%), Databricks (22%), and Stripe (12%) reflect caution amid February's market volatility that led several tech firms to delay or downsize plans, compounded by regulatory hurdles for AI deployments. Upcoming H2 catalysts include S-1 public disclosures, Fed rate decisions, and Q2 earnings, though product delays or geopolitical tensions could still shift trajectories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$5,788,791 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
95%
Cerebras
95%
Discord
59%
Anthropic
53%
WHOOP
52%
OpenAI
40%
Từ xa
37%
SHEIN
25%
Ledger
25%
Applied Intuition
23%
Canva
22%
Databricks
22%
Epic Games
21%
Deel
21%
Ramp
19%
Freddie Mac
15%
Waymo
14%
Mistral AI
14%
Rippling
13%
Ripple Labs
13%
Anysphere (Cursor)
13%
Celonis
12%
ByteDance
12%
Stripe
12%
Fannie Mae
12%
Vanta
11%
Glean
11%
Anduril Industries
9%
Anduril
9%
Revolut
9%
Brex
5%
$5,788,791 KL.
SpaceX
$508,101 KL.
95%
Cerebras
$292,365 KL.
95%
Discord
$440,361 KL.
59%
Anthropic
$184,004 KL.
53%
WHOOP
$50 KL.
52%
OpenAI
$214,517 KL.
40%
Từ xa
$52,640 KL.
37%
SHEIN
$77,147 KL.
25%
Ledger
$497,659 KL.
25%
Applied Intuition
$190,068 KL.
23%
Canva
$24,269 KL.
22%
Databricks
$462,168 KL.
22%
Epic Games
$70,829 KL.
21%
Deel
$120,279 KL.
21%
Ramp
$141,668 KL.
19%
Freddie Mac
$234,707 KL.
15%
Waymo
$44,921 KL.
14%
Mistral AI
$147,362 KL.
14%
Rippling
$109,210 KL.
13%
Ripple Labs
$136,597 KL.
13%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$91,780 KL.
13%
Celonis
$198,890 KL.
12%
ByteDance
$8,829 KL.
12%
Stripe
$242,781 KL.
12%
Fannie Mae
$159,303 KL.
12%
Vanta
$123,193 KL.
11%
Glean
$43,256 KL.
11%
Anduril Industries
$28,658 KL.
9%
Anduril
$347,338 KL.
9%
Revolut
$51,190 KL.
9%
Brex
$183,990 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors SpaceX and Cerebras Systems completing initial public offerings before year-end 2026, with market-implied odds at 95% for both, driven by credible reports of confidential S-1 filings, banker engagements, and testing-the-waters meetings for SpaceX's anticipated June listing at over $1.75 trillion valuation, alongside Cerebras' AI hardware momentum. Discord (59%) and Anthropic (53%) show moderate optimism from developer ecosystem growth and recent funding, but OpenAI (38%), Databricks (22%), and Stripe (12%) reflect caution amid February's market volatility that led several tech firms to delay or downsize plans, compounded by regulatory hurdles for AI deployments. Upcoming H2 catalysts include S-1 public disclosures, Fed rate decisions, and Q2 earnings, though product delays or geopolitical tensions could still shift trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,788,791Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors SpaceX and Cerebras Systems completing initial public offerings before year-end 2026, with market-implied odds at 95% for both, driven by credible reports of confidential S-1 filings, banker engagements, and testing-the-waters meetings for SpaceX's anticipated June listing at over $1.75 trillion valuation, alongside Cerebras' AI hardware momentum. Discord (59%) and Anthropic (53%) show moderate optimism from developer ecosystem growth and recent funding, but OpenAI (38%), Databricks (22%), and Stripe (12%) reflect caution amid February's market volatility that led several tech firms to delay or downsize plans, compounded by regulatory hurdles for AI deployments. Upcoming H2 catalysts include S-1 public disclosures, Fed rate decisions, and Q2 earnings, though product delays or geopolitical tensions could still shift trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$5,788,791Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors SpaceX and Cerebras Systems completing initial public offerings before year-end 2026, with market-implied odds at 95% for both, driven by credible reports of confidential S-1 filings, banker engagements, and testing-the-waters meetings for SpaceX's anticipated June listing at over $1.75 trillion valuation, alongside Cerebras' AI hardware momentum. Discord (59%) and Anthropic (53%) show moderate optimism from developer ecosystem growth and recent funding, but OpenAI (38%), Databricks (22%), and Stripe (12%) reflect caution amid February's market volatility that led several tech firms to delay or downsize plans, compounded by regulatory hurdles for AI deployments. Upcoming H2 catalysts include S-1 public disclosures, Fed rate decisions, and Q2 earnings, though product delays or geopolitical tensions could still shift trajectories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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