Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon under a fragile U.S.-brokered framework that ties any further withdrawals to Hezbollah disarmament, with operations centered on pilot zones and buffer areas rather than northward advances toward Beirut. Recent developments include a seventh round of Rome talks that began August 4, 2026, aimed at expanding withdrawal zones, alongside sporadic clashes such as the August 5 killing of two Israeli soldiers that prompted retaliatory strikes. Lebanese officials continue pressing for a full timetable for Israeli exit from occupied southern towns while rejecting simultaneous disarmament demands. No verified ground movements or official statements indicate imminent operations into the capital, where major strikes last occurred months earlier. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and southern focus shape trader assessments of any Beirut incursion timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIsraeli forces enter Beirut by...?
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$137,308 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
2%
$137,308 KL.
August 31
$7,395 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon under a fragile U.S.-brokered framework that ties any further withdrawals to Hezbollah disarmament, with operations centered on pilot zones and buffer areas rather than northward advances toward Beirut. Recent developments include a seventh round of Rome talks that began August 4, 2026, aimed at expanding withdrawal zones, alongside sporadic clashes such as the August 5 killing of two Israeli soldiers that prompted retaliatory strikes. Lebanese officials continue pressing for a full timetable for Israeli exit from occupied southern towns while rejecting simultaneous disarmament demands. No verified ground movements or official statements indicate imminent operations into the capital, where major strikes last occurred months earlier. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and southern focus shape trader assessments of any Beirut incursion timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$137,308Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon under a fragile U.S.-brokered framework that ties any further withdrawals to Hezbollah disarmament, with operations centered on pilot zones and buffer areas rather than northward advances toward Beirut. Recent developments include a seventh round of Rome talks that began August 4, 2026, aimed at expanding withdrawal zones, alongside sporadic clashes such as the August 5 killing of two Israeli soldiers that prompted retaliatory strikes. Lebanese officials continue pressing for a full timetable for Israeli exit from occupied southern towns while rejecting simultaneous disarmament demands. No verified ground movements or official statements indicate imminent operations into the capital, where major strikes last occurred months earlier. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and southern focus shape trader assessments of any Beirut incursion timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Khối lượng
$137,308Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon under a fragile U.S.-brokered framework that ties any further withdrawals to Hezbollah disarmament, with operations centered on pilot zones and buffer areas rather than northward advances toward Beirut. Recent developments include a seventh round of Rome talks that began August 4, 2026, aimed at expanding withdrawal zones, alongside sporadic clashes such as the August 5 killing of two Israeli soldiers that prompted retaliatory strikes. Lebanese officials continue pressing for a full timetable for Israeli exit from occupied southern towns while rejecting simultaneous disarmament demands. No verified ground movements or official statements indicate imminent operations into the capital, where major strikes last occurred months earlier. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and southern focus shape trader assessments of any Beirut incursion timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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