Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town overnight lows near 9–12°C for August 31, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and allows moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 8–11°C absent strong cold-air advection. Trader consensus reflects lingering model spread on exact radiative loss rates and any last-minute wind shifts, elevating the implied probability of 5°C or below while keeping mid-range outcomes (7–14°C) competitive; updated South African Weather Service guidance and next 48-hour model runs will likely narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
5°C or below 60%
15°C or higher 56%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
60%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
29%
9°C
29%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
2%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C or higher
56%
5°C or below 60%
15°C or higher 56%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
$0 KL.
60%
6°C
$0 KL.
49%
7°C
$0 KL.
49%
8°C
$0 KL.
29%
9°C
$0 KL.
29%
10°C
$0 KL.
49%
11°C
$0 KL.
49%
12°C
$0 KL.
2%
13°C
$0 KL.
28%
14°C
$0 KL.
28%
15°C or higher
$0 KL.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town overnight lows near 9–12°C for August 31, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and allows moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 8–11°C absent strong cold-air advection. Trader consensus reflects lingering model spread on exact radiative loss rates and any last-minute wind shifts, elevating the implied probability of 5°C or below while keeping mid-range outcomes (7–14°C) competitive; updated South African Weather Service guidance and next 48-hour model runs will likely narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town overnight lows near 9–12°C for August 31, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and allows moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 8–11°C absent strong cold-air advection. Trader consensus reflects lingering model spread on exact radiative loss rates and any last-minute wind shifts, elevating the implied probability of 5°C or below while keeping mid-range outcomes (7–14°C) competitive; updated South African Weather Service guidance and next 48-hour model runs will likely narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town overnight lows near 9–12°C for August 31, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and allows moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 8–11°C absent strong cold-air advection. Trader consensus reflects lingering model spread on exact radiative loss rates and any last-minute wind shifts, elevating the implied probability of 5°C or below while keeping mid-range outcomes (7–14°C) competitive; updated South African Weather Service guidance and next 48-hour model runs will likely narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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