**Forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C range amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity.** Recent updates from sources including WeatherBug, The Weather Network, and local Chinese forecasts show overnight lows projected near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), driven by persistent cloud cover and precipitation that limits nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. Elevated dew points around 23–25°C further suppress temperature drops, while light variable winds offer minimal advection of cooler air. Model consensus points to a moderating effect from the rain event, though small timing differences in storm arrival could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With all market outcomes at 50% implied probability, traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast revisions against typical August baselines of 22°C lows, awaiting final observational data for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
19°C or below 99%
29°C or higher 98%
23°C 92%
27°C 92%
19°C or below
99%
20°C
91%
21°C
91%
22°C
91%
23°C
92%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
92%
28°C
92%
29°C or higher
98%
19°C or below 99%
29°C or higher 98%
23°C 92%
27°C 92%
19°C or below
99%
20°C
91%
21°C
91%
22°C
91%
23°C
92%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
92%
28°C
92%
29°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C range amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity.** Recent updates from sources including WeatherBug, The Weather Network, and local Chinese forecasts show overnight lows projected near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), driven by persistent cloud cover and precipitation that limits nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. Elevated dew points around 23–25°C further suppress temperature drops, while light variable winds offer minimal advection of cooler air. Model consensus points to a moderating effect from the rain event, though small timing differences in storm arrival could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With all market outcomes at 50% implied probability, traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast revisions against typical August baselines of 22°C lows, awaiting final observational data for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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