Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from ongoing monsoon influences are anchoring trader consensus around 25–28°C minima for Guangzhou on August 27. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 26°C, with radiative cooling limited by dense cloud decks and dew points remaining above 25°C. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, yet model spreads arise from variable rainfall timing and wind patterns that could allow brief clearing and slightly cooler readings or sustain warmth under thicker overcast. High-resolution updates from the CMA and regional models in the next 12–24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
23°C 27%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
22%
22°C
20%
23°C
27%
24°C
14%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
23°C 27%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
22%
22°C
20%
23°C
27%
24°C
14%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from ongoing monsoon influences are anchoring trader consensus around 25–28°C minima for Guangzhou on August 27. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 26°C, with radiative cooling limited by dense cloud decks and dew points remaining above 25°C. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, yet model spreads arise from variable rainfall timing and wind patterns that could allow brief clearing and slightly cooler readings or sustain warmth under thicker overcast. High-resolution updates from the CMA and regional models in the next 12–24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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