**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF/GFS ensembles, and private providers show Istanbul’s overnight minimum on August 27 clustered tightly around 21–23 °C.** Clear skies, light-to-moderate northeasterly flow, and dew points near 19–20 °C support efficient radiative cooling after sunset, but not enough for deeper drops below 20 °C. The 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes dominate market-implied odds (45 % and 46 %) because the latest model runs differ by only 1 °C on the exact hourly minimum, reflecting typical late-summer boundary-layer uncertainty rather than any major synoptic change. Higher or lower bins carry far lower probabilities because climatological norms for late August and current stability rule out both strong cooling and anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance or station observations in the final hours before midnight will be the decisive inputs for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
18°C or below 90%
22°C 45%
21°C 44%
23°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
90%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
44%
22°C
45%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
8%
18°C or below 90%
22°C 45%
21°C 44%
23°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
$5 KL.
90%
19°C
$27 KL.
25%
20°C
$59 KL.
25%
21°C
$0 KL.
44%
22°C
$0 KL.
45%
23°C
$0 KL.
27%
24°C
$0 KL.
27%
25°C
$0 KL.
5%
26°C
$5 KL.
4%
27°C
$5 KL.
4%
28°C or higher
$5 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF/GFS ensembles, and private providers show Istanbul’s overnight minimum on August 27 clustered tightly around 21–23 °C.**
Clear skies, light-to-moderate northeasterly flow, and dew points near 19–20 °C support efficient radiative cooling after sunset, but not enough for deeper drops below 20 °C. The 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes dominate market-implied odds (45 % and 46 %) because the latest model runs differ by only 1 °C on the exact hourly minimum, reflecting typical late-summer boundary-layer uncertainty rather than any major synoptic change.
Higher or lower bins carry far lower probabilities because climatological norms for late August and current stability rule out both strong cooling and anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance or station observations in the final hours before midnight will be the decisive inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$106Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF/GFS ensembles, and private providers show Istanbul’s overnight minimum on August 27 clustered tightly around 21–23 °C.**
Clear skies, light-to-moderate northeasterly flow, and dew points near 19–20 °C support efficient radiative cooling after sunset, but not enough for deeper drops below 20 °C. The 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes dominate market-implied odds (45 % and 46 %) because the latest model runs differ by only 1 °C on the exact hourly minimum, reflecting typical late-summer boundary-layer uncertainty rather than any major synoptic change.
Higher or lower bins carry far lower probabilities because climatological norms for late August and current stability rule out both strong cooling and anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance or station observations in the final hours before midnight will be the decisive inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$106Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF/GFS ensembles, and private providers show Istanbul’s overnight minimum on August 27 clustered tightly around 21–23 °C.** Clear skies, light-to-moderate northeasterly flow, and dew points near 19–20 °C support efficient radiative cooling after sunset, but not enough for deeper drops below 20 °C. The 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes dominate market-implied odds (45 % and 46 %) because the latest model runs differ by only 1 °C on the exact hourly minimum, reflecting typical late-summer boundary-layer uncertainty rather than any major synoptic change. Higher or lower bins carry far lower probabilities because climatological norms for late August and current stability rule out both strong cooling and anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance or station observations in the final hours before midnight will be the decisive inputs for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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