Trader consensus around a 31°C minimum for Jeddah on August 21 rests on climatological baselines and seasonal outlooks showing persistently above-normal temperatures across western Saudi Arabia. Historical data place typical overnight lows near 29–30°C during peak summer, while National Center for Meteorology projections and extended forecasts indicate August 2026 anomalies of up to 1.6°C, keeping daily minima clustered between 28.7–31.7°C. Coastal humidity and light Red Sea breezes further limit nocturnal cooling. Only rare synoptic shifts—such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover—could realistically pull the recorded low to 29°C or below, scenarios assigned low implied probability given current model agreement and the absence of disruptive weather systems.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 21?
31°C 94%
29°C 33%
30°C 13%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
33%
30°C
13%
31°C
94%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 94%
29°C 33%
30°C 13%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
33%
30°C
13%
31°C
94%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a 31°C minimum for Jeddah on August 21 rests on climatological baselines and seasonal outlooks showing persistently above-normal temperatures across western Saudi Arabia. Historical data place typical overnight lows near 29–30°C during peak summer, while National Center for Meteorology projections and extended forecasts indicate August 2026 anomalies of up to 1.6°C, keeping daily minima clustered between 28.7–31.7°C. Coastal humidity and light Red Sea breezes further limit nocturnal cooling. Only rare synoptic shifts—such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover—could realistically pull the recorded low to 29°C or below, scenarios assigned low implied probability given current model agreement and the absence of disruptive weather systems.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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