Recent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 17, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the historical average low of 15.3°C, with model guidance converging on overnight lows of 13–14°C after a daytime high around 26°C. The closely matched market odds around 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, as small shifts in wind speed or residual cloud cover could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs tonight will refine these projections ahead of the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
12°C or below 37%
14°C 28%
13°C 23%
15°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
37%
13°C
23%
14°C
28%
15°C
16%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
12°C or below 37%
14°C 28%
13°C 23%
15°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
$0 KL.
37%
13°C
$0 KL.
23%
14°C
$4 KL.
28%
15°C
$6 KL.
16%
16°C
$0 KL.
11%
17°C
$0 KL.
7%
18°C
$0 KL.
4%
19°C
$0 KL.
2%
20°C
$0 KL.
2%
21°C
$0 KL.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 17, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the historical average low of 15.3°C, with model guidance converging on overnight lows of 13–14°C after a daytime high around 26°C. The closely matched market odds around 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, as small shifts in wind speed or residual cloud cover could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs tonight will refine these projections ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 17, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the historical average low of 15.3°C, with model guidance converging on overnight lows of 13–14°C after a daytime high around 26°C. The closely matched market odds around 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, as small shifts in wind speed or residual cloud cover could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs tonight will refine these projections ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 17, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the historical average low of 15.3°C, with model guidance converging on overnight lows of 13–14°C after a daytime high around 26°C. The closely matched market odds around 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, as small shifts in wind speed or residual cloud cover could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs tonight will refine these projections ahead of the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp