Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Luzon are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–29°C range and 80% rain chance for September 7. Strong El Niño conditions in the Pacific typically favor drier, warmer patterns later in the season, yet current monsoon dominance and embedded thunderstorms are moderating diurnal ranges. Official guidance and model runs point to lows near 25–26°C under humid, overcast skies, though variability in rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether minima stay above 26°C or dip toward 24°C or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 7?
28°C 49%
31°C or higher 33%
26°C 32%
24°C 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
14%
22°C
17%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
32%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
33%
28°C 49%
31°C or higher 33%
26°C 32%
24°C 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
14%
22°C
$0 KL.
17%
23°C
$0 KL.
26%
24°C
$0 KL.
28%
25°C
$0 KL.
27%
26°C
$0 KL.
32%
27°C
$0 KL.
27%
28°C
$0 KL.
49%
29°C
$0 KL.
18%
30°C
$0 KL.
18%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Luzon are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–29°C range and 80% rain chance for September 7. Strong El Niño conditions in the Pacific typically favor drier, warmer patterns later in the season, yet current monsoon dominance and embedded thunderstorms are moderating diurnal ranges. Official guidance and model runs point to lows near 25–26°C under humid, overcast skies, though variability in rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether minima stay above 26°C or dip toward 24°C or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Luzon are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–29°C range and 80% rain chance for September 7. Strong El Niño conditions in the Pacific typically favor drier, warmer patterns later in the season, yet current monsoon dominance and embedded thunderstorms are moderating diurnal ranges. Official guidance and model runs point to lows near 25–26°C under humid, overcast skies, though variability in rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether minima stay above 26°C or dip toward 24°C or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Luzon are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–29°C range and 80% rain chance for September 7. Strong El Niño conditions in the Pacific typically favor drier, warmer patterns later in the season, yet current monsoon dominance and embedded thunderstorms are moderating diurnal ranges. Official guidance and model runs point to lows near 25–26°C under humid, overcast skies, though variability in rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether minima stay above 26°C or dip toward 24°C or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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